Week 4 Pickum Challenge Results and Breakdown

Click here to pick the Week 5 Pick’em Games

Week 4 Results- 95 games total

(I added 1 pt to everyone for marking wrong game correct)

1 . Clint Fountain – 85
2 . Samantha Duell – 85
3 . Mike Harris – 84
4 . Nicole Wright – 84
5 . Tony Pitts – 83
6 . Patrick Tidwell – 83
7 . Bo Weddle – 83
8 . Jerrad Jones – 83
9 . Steve Crow Raven – 82
10 . Lisa Duell – 81
11 . Sylven Hobbs – 80
12 . Terry Oliver – 80
13 . Melanie Tilley – 80
14 . Rick Gober – 80
15 . Michael Taylor – 77
16 . Chase Hattabaugh – 77
17 . Jeremy Wilson – 77
18 . Michael Huffman – 76
19 . Coach Morse – 76
20 . Dexter Madison – 75
21 . Jaron West – 74
22 . TheEaston – 73
23 . Joe Adams – 73
24 . Will Hunt – 70
25 . Eric Elam – 70
26 . Drew – 68
27 . Daniel Haaser – 68
28 . Grady – 66
29 . Roy mashburn – 65
30 . Jamie VanHouten – 65
31 . Kylie Black – 65
32 . Mikey D. 56 – 63
33 . Zeke miles – 62
34 . Maggie – 61
35 . Rachel Jones – 61
36 . Nicole – 60
37 . Montreal – 57
38 . parker steed – 44

• Three mega swing games decided the ladder: England–Poyen, Sheridan–West Memphis, Batesville–Nettleton. The top group rode one side together while the bottom crew went the other way—huge gaps.

• Top 14 played classic chalk: in 92 of 95 games, the top group’s majority pick matched the pool’s majority pick. That’s old‑school pick’em discipline.

• Bottom 10 took big cuts: they went against the pool’s majority in 30 games. Bold—love the confidence—but those swings were concentrated in the same handful of matchups, which is why the separation looks so clean.

• Tiebreaker vibes: top group’s average tiebreaker guess skewed higher (~64.5) than the bottom group (~56.5). Median overall was 58.

Week‑4 pick trends you can actually use

In 92/95 matchups, the top group’s majority pick matched the overall majority pick. That’s clinic‑level discipline.

2) Where the bottom group took their swings.

• The bottom 10 most often backed the overall minority in these (most notable first):
  England, West Memphis, Jessieville, Batesville, Alma, Russellville, Pottsville, Monticello, Mountain Pine, Morrilton, plus shots on FS Northside, Bald Knob, Episcopal, Nashville, Camden Fairview, Mountainburg, LR Catholic, Murfreesboro, Ashdown, Huntsville (and a few more).
  Takeaway: nothing wrong with swinging—just pick your spots. Multiple stacked fades in the same slate is high‑variance by design.

• 3) True toss‑ups (field almost 50/50).
  Use these to separate yourself on purpose—they’re coin‑flip games by crowd data:
• Bigelow vs Magazine (53/47)
• Alma vs Harrison (45/55)
• Morrilton vs Greenbrier (45/55)
• Bearden vs Hazen (45/55)
• Batesville vs Nettleton (42/58)
• Cutter MS vs Perryville (42/58)
• Mountain Pine vs Hector (42/58)
• Spring Hill vs Mineral Springs (58/42)4) Consensus locks (crowd hammered these).
  These were basically “don’t get cute” spots—great anchor picks:
• Bryant (100%)
• Mansfield (100%)
• Conway over LR Southwest (97%)
• Searcy over White Hall (97%)
• Robinson over Watson Chapel (97%)
• Gravette over Lincoln (97%)
• Trumann over Westside (97%)
• Malvern over Genoa Central (97%)
• Booneville over Cedarville (97%)
• Quitman over Yellville‑Summit (97%)
  Tiebreaker pulse check.

• Top group leaned higher scoring (avg ~64.5, median 66.5).

• Bottom group leaned lower (avg ~56.5, median 52).

• Overall median was 58. Nice, tight cluster.